Independiente De Chivilcoy v El Linqueño: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Raul Orlando Lungarzo

El Linqueño

DDDDW

Independiente De Chivilcoy 64%Draw 22%El Linqueño 14% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.51

64%

Betarazi pick

Independiente De Chivilcoy to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓64% · @1.53

Double chanceIndependiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓86% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.44

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.05

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Independiente De Chivilcoy v El Linqueño in the Torneo Federal A, played at Raul Orlando Lungarzo. In the table, Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; El Linqueño are 26th (lower half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gimnasia Concepción, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

El Linqueño, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Escobar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours El Linqueño, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended El Linqueño 2–1 Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.5 xG, El Linqueño 0.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente De Chivilcoy 64%, draw 22%, El Linqueño 14%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Independiente De Chivilcoy to win (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 El Linqueño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente De Chivilcoy64%fair 1.56 · @1.53

Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.30

El Linqueño14%fair 7.35 · @6.25

2.05Expected goals

1.54Independiente De Chivilcoy xG

0.51El Linqueño xG

45%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%

2–015%

0–013%

1–110%

3–08%

2–18%

From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.5 – 0.5 El Linqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Independiente De Chivilcoy to win ✓	64%	1.56	1.53
Double chance	Independiente De Chivilcoy or draw ✓	86%	1.16	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	55%	1.82	1.44
Draw no bet	Independiente De Chivilcoy (draw no bet) ✓	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Independiente De Chivilcoy -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	63%	1.60	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	64%	1.57	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	1.05
First team to score	Independiente De Chivilcoy to score first ✓	65%	1.53	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Independiente De Chivilcoy / FT Independiente De Chivilcoy ✓	38%	2.61	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	20%	5.05	–

Recent results

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6

DWDLDD

30 Aug	@ Gimnasia Concepción	0–0	D
23 Aug	vs Tucuman Central	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Sportivo Las Parejas	0–0	D
12 Aug	vs Sarmiento Resistencia	1–2	L
8 Aug	@ Boca Unidos	1–1	D
26 Jul	vs Sportivo Las Parejas	1–1	D

0.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

El Linqueño – last 6

DDDDWW

30 Aug	vs Atletico Escobar	1–1	D
23 Aug	@ Defensores de Vilelas	0–0	D
13 Aug	vs Gimnasia Concepción	0–0	D
8 Aug	@ Tucuman Central	1–1	D
2 Aug	vs Sportivo Las Parejas	2–0	W
26 Jul	@ Gimnasia Concepción	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jul 2026

El Linqueño v Independiente De Chivilcoy

2–1

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Fundacion Amigos1

Germinal de Rawson1 160%1.55X23%3.20217%7.00 1.4–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Alvarado3

Atenas2 164%1.62X24%3.10212%5.50 1.5–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗

Deportivo Rincon1

Costa Brava1 159%1.85X25%2.90216%4.20 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Guillermo Brown1

San Martín Mendoza1 142%2.30X25%2.80234%3.00 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Juventud Unida Univ.1

Santamarina0 168%1.22X21%4.50211%13.00 1.5–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.57 ✓

Bartolomé Mitre0

Gimnasia Chivilcoy1 19%21.00X16%6.00275%1.14 0.3–1.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓

Huracan Las Heras1

Argentino Monte Maíz2 140%2.15X26%2.70235%3.50 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1

Cipolletti1 160%1.50X21%3.40219%6.50 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?

Our pick is Independiente De Chivilcoy to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?

On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and El Linqueño 14%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?

Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 El Linqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño?

Independiente De Chivilcoy vs El Linqueño (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.