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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dynamo Kyiv v Qarabag: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Arena Lublin

Dynamo Kyiv

LLDWD
1–0
FT

Qarabag

DDWWL
Dynamo Kyiv 37%Draw 37%Qarabag 26% Expected goals 1.29 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick

Dynamo Kyiv or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDynamo Kyiv to win ✓37% · @2.15
Double chanceDynamo Kyiv or draw ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.89

Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Qarabag travel to face Dynamo Kyiv on Thursday 6 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Arena Lublin the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Dynamo Kyiv, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PAOK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Qarabag, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CSKA Sofia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dynamo Kyiv 1.3 xG, Qarabag 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dynamo Kyiv 37%, draw 37%, Qarabag 26%.
  • Lower-risk option: Dynamo Kyiv or draw (74%) at 1.33.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Draw @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Dynamo Kyiv or draw (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dynamo Kyiv37%fair 2.70 · @2.15
Draw37%fair 2.72 · @3.25
Qarabag26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
2.35Expected goals
1.29Dynamo Kyiv xG
1.06Qarabag xG
59%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Dynamo Kyiv 1.3 – 1.1 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDynamo Kyiv to win ✓37%2.702.15
Double chanceDynamo Kyiv or draw ✓74%1.351.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.67
Draw no betDynamo Kyiv (draw no bet) ✓59%1.71–
Asian handicapQarabag +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.72–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreDynamo Kyiv to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dynamo Kyiv / FT Dynamo Kyiv ✓24%4.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.89–

Recent results

Dynamo Kyiv – last 6

LLDWDW
30 Jul@ PAOK0–2L
23 Julvs PAOK2–3L
16 Jul@ Universitatea Cluj0–0D
10 Jul@ Radomiak Radom4–2W
9 Julvs Universitatea Cluj0–0D
3 Julvs Lask Linz2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Qarabag – last 6

DDWWLL
30 Jul@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
23 Julvs CSKA Sofia0–0D
16 Jul@ Vestri3–0W
9 Julvs Vestri3–0W
1 Jul@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
1 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv2–6L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dynamo Kyiv and Qarabag.

Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

Our pick is Dynamo Kyiv or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

On our numbers Dynamo Kyiv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 37% and Qarabag 26%.

How many goals will there be in Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

Our predicted score is Dynamo Kyiv 1–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag?

Dynamo Kyiv vs Qarabag (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Lublin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.