Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓49% · @1.63
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓75% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rīgas FS travel to face FK Jablonec on Thursday 6 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Stadion Střelnice the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
FK Jablonec, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pardubice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Rīgas FS, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vestri, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Jablonec 1.5 xG, Rīgas FS 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Jablonec 49%, draw 26%, Rīgas FS 25%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Jablonec 1–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Jablonec49%fair 2.03 · @1.63
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.65
Rīgas FS25%fair 4.02 · @4.90
2.67Expected goals
1.47FK Jablonec xG
1.21Rīgas FS xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.5 – 1.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Jablonec to win✓
49%
2.03
1.63
Double chance
FK Jablonec or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
FK Jablonec (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Rīgas FS +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
FK Jablonec to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
FK Jablonec – last 6
WWWLWW
2 Aug
@ Pardubice
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs NK Varazdin
2–0
W
26 Jul
vs Sigma Olomouc
2–1
W
23 Jul
@ NK Varazdin
2–3
L
15 Jul
vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1–0
W
12 Jul
vs VfL Osnabrück
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS – last 6
DWWWWW
30 Jul
@ Vestri
1–1
D
27 Jul
@ Tukums
1–0
W
23 Jul
vs Vestri
4–1
W
20 Jul
@ FS Jelgava
1–0
W
16 Jul
vs Glentoran
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs FS Jelgava
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS.
What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rīgas FS 25%.
How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?
FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Střelnice.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.