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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FK Jablonec v Rīgas FS: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Stadion Střelnice
2–0
FT
FK Jablonec 49%Draw 26%Rīgas FS 25% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.21
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFK Jablonec to win ✓49% · @1.63
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓75% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rīgas FS travel to face FK Jablonec on Thursday 6 August in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with Stadion Střelnice the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

FK Jablonec, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pardubice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Rīgas FS, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vestri, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FK Jablonec 1.5 xG, Rīgas FS 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FK Jablonec 49%, draw 26%, Rīgas FS 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Jablonec 1–1 Rīgas FS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FK Jablonec49%fair 2.03 · @1.63
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.65
Rīgas FS25%fair 4.02 · @4.90
2.67Expected goals
1.47FK Jablonec xG
1.21Rīgas FS xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: FK Jablonec 1.5 – 1.2 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Jablonec to win ✓49%2.031.63
Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✓75%1.331.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.741.85 ▲
Draw no betFK Jablonec (draw no bet) ✓66%1.50–
Asian handicapRīgas FS +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.381.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreFK Jablonec to score first ✓51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Jablonec / FT FK Jablonec ✓25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.17–

Recent results

FK Jablonec – last 6

WWWLWW
2 Aug@ Pardubice2–0W
30 Julvs NK Varazdin2–0W
26 Julvs Sigma Olomouc2–1W
23 Jul@ NK Varazdin2–3L
15 Julvs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1–0W
12 Julvs VfL Osnabrück1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rīgas FS – last 6

DWWWWW
30 Jul@ Vestri1–1D
27 Jul@ Tukums1–0W
23 Julvs Vestri4–1W
20 Jul@ FS Jelgava1–0W
16 Julvs Glentoran2–0W
12 Julvs FS Jelgava2–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FK Jablonec and Rīgas FS.

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

On our numbers FK Jablonec have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rīgas FS 25%.

How many goals will there be in FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

Our predicted score is FK Jablonec 1–1 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS?

FK Jablonec vs Rīgas FS (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Střelnice.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.