Paide 14%Draw 19%Rapid Vienna 67%Expected goals 0.99 – 2.01
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 57% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRapid Vienna to win ✓67% · @1.17
Double chanceRapid Vienna or draw ✓86% · fair 1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.04
Paide vs Rapid Vienna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 6 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Paide against Rapid Vienna at A. Le Coq Arena. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Paide, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kuressaare, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Rapid Vienna, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over SCR Altach, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Rapid Vienna, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Paide.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paide 1.0 xG, Rapid Vienna 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paide 14%, draw 19%, Rapid Vienna 67%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paide 0–2 Rapid Vienna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paide14%fair 7.19 · @16.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @5.75
Rapid Vienna67%fair 1.50 · @1.17
3.00Expected goals
0.99Paide xG
2.01Rapid Vienna xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Paide 1.0 – 2.0 Rapid Vienna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rapid Vienna to win✓
67%
1.50
1.17
Double chance
Rapid Vienna or draw✓
86%
1.16
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Rapid Vienna (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Rapid Vienna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Rapid Vienna to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Rapid Vienna ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rapid Vienna / FT Rapid Vienna✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.04
–
Recent results
Paide – last 6
WDWLWD
2 Aug
vs Kuressaare
1–0
W
30 Jul
@ Zira
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Zira
1–0
W
19 Jul
@ Laagri
2–5
L
16 Jul
vs Hegelmann Litauen
3–0
W
9 Jul
@ Hegelmann Litauen
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Rapid Vienna – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Aug
vs SCR Altach
1–0
W
29 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
6–2
W
26 Jul
@ Wienerberg
3–0
W
23 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs Hamburger SV
3–2
W
15 Jul
vs Panathinaikos
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paide and Rapid Vienna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Paide vs Rapid Vienna?
On our numbers Paide have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rapid Vienna 67%.
How many goals will there be in Paide vs Rapid Vienna?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paide vs Rapid Vienna?
Our predicted score is Paide 0–2 Rapid Vienna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Paide vs Rapid Vienna?
Paide vs Rapid Vienna (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at A. Le Coq Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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