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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motherwell v HJK Helsinki: numbers & prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Fir Park

Motherwell

DDWWW
2–0
FT

HJK Helsinki

WDLWW
Motherwell 61%Draw 25%HJK Helsinki 15% Expected goals 1.93 – 0.86
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMotherwell to win ✓61% · @1.72
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 13 August the UEFA Europa Conference League brings Motherwell against HJK Helsinki at Fir Park. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Motherwell, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Falkirk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

HJK Helsinki, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AC Oulu, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Aug 2026) it ended HJK Helsinki 1–1 Motherwell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motherwell 1.9 xG, HJK Helsinki 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motherwell 61%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Motherwell or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motherwell 2–0 HJK Helsinki. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motherwell61%fair 1.64 · @1.72
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.65
HJK Helsinki15%fair 6.86 · @4.30
2.79Expected goals
1.93Motherwell xG
0.86HJK Helsinki xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Motherwell 1.9 – 0.9 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotherwell to win ✓61%1.641.72
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓85%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.73
Draw no betMotherwell (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapMotherwell -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreMotherwell to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultMotherwell ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motherwell / FT Motherwell ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Motherwell – last 6

DDWWWL
9 Augvs Falkirk0–0D
6 Aug@ HJK Helsinki1–1D
2 Aug@ Hibernian2–1W
30 Jul@ HB Torshavn3–0W
23 Julvs HB Torshavn2–0W
17 Julvs Genk3–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

HJK Helsinki – last 6

WDLWWW
9 Aug@ AC Oulu1–0W
6 Augvs Motherwell1–1D
3 Aug@ SJK0–3L
30 Jul@ Coleraine FC3–0W
26 Julvs Turku PS1–0W
23 Julvs Coleraine FC5–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Aug 2026HJK Helsinki v Motherwell1–1
Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT FK Tobol Kostanay1 FK Partizan2 130%2.85X21%3.50249%2.22 1.2–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Ilves1 HNK Rijeka1 121%4.30X22%3.50257%1.75 0.7–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.25 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn0 Inter Club d'Escaldes4 163%1.88X22%3.60215%3.60 1.6–0.6xG 1XFlora Tallinn or draw 85%@1.25 ✗
FT Qarabag2 Dynamo Kyiv0 164%1.82X21%3.60215%3.85 1.4–0.5xG 1XQarabag or draw 85%@1.25 ✓
FT Rīgas FS1 FK Jablonec2 149%1.98X21%3.45229%3.40 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 SC Braga0 111%7.75X20%4.45269%1.36 0.6–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.42 ✓
FT Dunajska Streda3 Twente3 113%5.60X18%4.30269%1.48 1.0–2.5xG 2Twente to win 69%@1.48 ✗
FT Hammarby FF0 Raków Częstochowa1 164%1.71X21%3.60215%4.35 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

On our numbers Motherwell have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and HJK Helsinki 15%.

How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

Our predicted score is Motherwell 2–0 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki?

Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.