Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Union Brescia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion Brescia to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceUnion Brescia or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.65
Alcione vs Union Brescia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Alcione v Union Brescia in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Ernesto Breda. In the table, Alcione are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Union Brescia are 2nd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Alcione, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with PRO Vercelli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Union Brescia, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Treviso, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Brescia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Alcione.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Alcione 0–0 Union Brescia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcione 0.7 xG, Union Brescia 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcione 13%, draw 27%, Union Brescia 60%.
Lower-risk option: Union Brescia or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Union Brescia to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union Brescia or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcione13%fair 7.87 · @4.00
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.80
Union Brescia60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
2.50Expected goals
0.73Alcione xG
1.77Union Brescia xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Alcione 0.7 – 1.8 Union Brescia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our pick is Union Brescia or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alcione vs Union Brescia?
On our numbers Alcione have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Union Brescia 60%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Union Brescia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Our predicted score is Alcione 0–1 Union Brescia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Union Brescia?
Alcione vs Union Brescia (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
