Folgore Caratese v Giana Erminio Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFolgore Caratese to win ✗41% · @2.25

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85

Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Giana Erminio travel to face Folgore Caratese on Sunday 20 September in the Serie C Girone A, with AlbinoLeffe the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Folgore Caratese are 20th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Giana Erminio are 16th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Folgore Caratese, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pergolettese, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Giana Erminio, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Trento, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Giana Erminio 1–1 Folgore Caratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Folgore Caratese 1.3 xG, Giana Erminio 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Folgore Caratese 41%, draw 24%, Giana Erminio 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Folgore Caratese 1–1 Giana Erminio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Folgore Caratese41%fair 2.42 · @2.25

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.88

Giana Erminio35%fair 2.89 · @2.90

2.50Expected goals

1.32Folgore Caratese xG

1.18Giana Erminio xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

2–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Folgore Caratese 1.3 – 1.2 Giana Erminio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Folgore Caratese to win ✗	41%	2.42	2.25
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	Folgore Caratese (draw no bet)	54%	1.84	–
Asian handicap	Giana Erminio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.66	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Folgore Caratese to score first ✓	48%	2.06	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.27	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Folgore Caratese / FT Folgore Caratese ✗	23%	4.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.85	–

Folgore Caratese – last 6

DLLDLD

17 Sep	@ Pergolettese	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Alcione	2–3	L
7 Sep	@ PRO Vercelli	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Novara	2–2	D
24 Aug	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	1–2	L
16 Aug	@ Giana Erminio	1–1	D

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Giana Erminio – last 6

DLLLLL

17 Sep	vs Trento	2–2	D
13 Sep	@ Lecco	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	1–2	L
2 Sep	@ Union Brescia	2–5	L
30 Aug	@ Lumezzane	0–1	L
22 Aug	vs Albinoleffe	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

On our numbers Folgore Caratese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Giana Erminio 35%.

How many goals will there be in Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

Our predicted score is Folgore Caratese 1–1 Giana Erminio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio?

Folgore Caratese vs Giana Erminio (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at AlbinoLeffe.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Folgore Caratese v Giana Erminio: numbers & prediction