Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Picks by market
ResultLecco to win ✗45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.54
Lecco vs Pergolettese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pergolettese travel to face Lecco on Sunday 20 September in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Lecco are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Pergolettese are 10th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lecco, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Desenzano Calvina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pergolettese, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Folgore Caratese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 0.7 xG, Pergolettese 0.4 xG – a total near 1.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 90% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 45%, draw 24%, Pergolettese 31%.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (58%, odds 1.83 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 0–0 Pergolettese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecco45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Pergolettese31%fair 3.26 · @3.30
1.10Expected goals
0.66Lecco xG
0.44Pergolettese xG
42%Both score
10%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–033%
1–022%
0–115%
1–110%
2–07%
0–23%
From our goals model: Lecco 0.7 – 0.4 Pergolettese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
45%
2.21
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Lecco (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Pergolettese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
First team to score
Lecco to score first✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.54
–
Recent results
Lecco – last 6
WWLLDD
17 Sep
@ Desenzano Calvina
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Giana Erminio
1–0
W
7 Sep
@ Trento
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Treviso
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Pergolettese – last 6
DWDLLD
17 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Novara
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Union Brescia
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Cittadella
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ PRO Vercelli
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Pergolettese.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Lecco vs Pergolettese?
On our numbers Lecco have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pergolettese 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Pergolettese?
We expect about 1.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 10% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Pergolettese?
Our predicted score is Lecco 0–0 Pergolettese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.1 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Pergolettese?
Lecco vs Pergolettese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
