Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCittadella to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
Cittadella vs Lecco: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Serie C Girone A brings Cittadella against Lecco at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Cittadella are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Lecco are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Cittadella, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ospitaletto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Lecco, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pergolettese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cittadella, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Lecco.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Cittadella 2–1 Lecco.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.6 xG, Lecco 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 63%, draw 23%, Lecco 14%.
Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: NG (58%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Cittadella to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–0 Lecco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.50
Lecco14%fair 7.10 · @3.70
2.13Expected goals
1.57Cittadella xG
0.56Lecco xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.6 – 0.6 Lecco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cittadella vs Lecco?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lecco 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Lecco?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Lecco?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Lecco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Lecco?
Cittadella vs Lecco (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
