Desenzano Calvina v Juventus U23 Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDesenzano Calvina to win ✗41% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Desenzano Calvina v Juventus U23 in the Serie C Girone A, played at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni. In the table, Desenzano Calvina are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Juventus U23 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Desenzano Calvina, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Treviso, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Juventus U23, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 3–5 defeat to Albinoleffe, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Desenzano Calvina 1.3 xG, Juventus U23 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Desenzano Calvina 41%, draw 23%, Juventus U23 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Juventus U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Desenzano Calvina41%fair 2.43 · @2.40

Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20

Juventus U2336%fair 2.75 · @2.62

2.53Expected goals

1.32Desenzano Calvina xG

1.22Juventus U23 xG

55%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–010%

0–110%

2–18%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Desenzano Calvina 1.3 – 1.2 Juventus U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Desenzano Calvina to win ✗	41%	2.43	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.29	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.82	1.80
Draw no bet	Desenzano Calvina (draw no bet)	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Juventus U23 +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.88	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.16	1.11
First team to score	Desenzano Calvina to score first ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Desenzano Calvina / FT Desenzano Calvina ✗	23%	4.44	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	11.94	–

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

DLWLWD

21 Sep	@ Treviso	0–0	D
17 Sep	vs Lecco	1–3	L
13 Sep	@ Arzignano Valchiampo	2–1	W
6 Sep	@ Union Brescia	0–1	L
3 Sep	@ Trento	1–0	W
31 Aug	vs Trento	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Juventus U23 – last 6

LLLDDW

20 Sep	vs Albinoleffe	3–5	L
17 Sep	@ Cittadella	0–2	L
13 Sep	@ Ospitaletto	0–3	L
6 Sep	vs Pergolettese	0–0	D
30 Aug	@ Athletic Carpi	3–3	D
22 Aug	vs Novara	1–0	W

1.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23?

On our numbers Desenzano Calvina have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juventus U23 36%.

How many goals will there be in Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23?

Our predicted score is Desenzano Calvina 1–1 Juventus U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23?

Desenzano Calvina vs Juventus U23 (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Desenzano Calvina v Juventus U23: numbers & prediction