Lumezzane v Folgore Caratese Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLumezzane to win ✗47% · @2.10

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Lumezzane v Folgore Caratese in the Serie C Girone A, played at Tullio Saleri. In the table, Lumezzane are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Folgore Caratese are 20th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Lumezzane, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dolomiti Bellunesi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Folgore Caratese, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Giana Erminio, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lumezzane, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Folgore Caratese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lumezzane 1.4 xG, Folgore Caratese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lumezzane 47%, draw 22%, Folgore Caratese 31%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lumezzane 1–1 Folgore Caratese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lumezzane47%fair 2.11 · @2.10

Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.30

Folgore Caratese31%fair 3.22 · @3.00

2.48Expected goals

1.41Lumezzane xG

1.07Folgore Caratese xG

58%Both score

47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

2–08%

From our goals model: Lumezzane 1.4 – 1.1 Folgore Caratese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lumezzane to win ✗	47%	2.11	2.10
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.71	1.80 ▲
Draw no bet	Lumezzane (draw no bet) ✗	60%	1.66	–
Asian handicap	Folgore Caratese +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	53%	1.88	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	74%	1.35	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.11
First team to score	Lumezzane to score first	52%	1.92	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane ✗	26%	3.80	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.23	–

Lumezzane – last 6

WDDLWL

21 Sep	@ Dolomiti Bellunesi	2–1	W
17 Sep	vs Novara	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Renate	2–2	D
6 Sep	@ Cittadella	1–2	L
30 Aug	vs Giana Erminio	1–0	W
22 Aug	@ Ospitaletto	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Folgore Caratese – last 6

DDLLDL

20 Sep	vs Giana Erminio	1–1	D
17 Sep	@ Pergolettese	0–0	D
13 Sep	vs Alcione	2–3	L
7 Sep	@ PRO Vercelli	0–1	L
31 Aug	@ Novara	2–2	D
24 Aug	vs Dolomiti Bellunesi	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cittadella	13	10	1	2	+13	31
2	Union Brescia	13	8	4	1	+15	28
3	Trento	13	7	6	0	+12	27
4	Ospitaletto	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Treviso	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Arzignano Valchiampo	13	6	3	4	+4	21
7	Lecco	13	5	5	3	+11	20
8	Alcione	13	4	6	3	+2	18
9	Albinoleffe	13	4	5	4	+1	17
10	Pergolettese	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Lumezzane	13	4	4	5	-3	16
12	PRO Vercelli	13	4	4	5	-7	16
13	Desenzano Calvina	13	3	4	6	-5	13
14	Novara	13	3	4	6	-7	13
15	Athletic Carpi	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Giana Erminio	13	2	6	5	-4	12
17	Renate	13	2	5	6	-1	11
18	Juventus U23	13	2	5	6	-11	11
19	Dolomiti Bellunesi	13	2	4	7	-12	10
20	Folgore Caratese	13	1	5	7	-10	8

Team

Pts

+13

+15

+12

+11

-1

-3

-7

-5

-7

-10

-4

-1

-11

-12

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?

On our numbers Lumezzane have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Folgore Caratese 31%.

How many goals will there be in Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?

Our predicted score is Lumezzane 1–1 Folgore Caratese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese?

Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Tullio Saleri.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lumezzane v Folgore Caratese: numbers & prediction