Value bet: Ospitaletto to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNovara to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38
Novara vs Ospitaletto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novara welcome Ospitaletto to Stadio Silvio Piola for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 26 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Novara are 14th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Ospitaletto are 4th (among the top four) with 22.
Current form
Novara, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Athletic Carpi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ospitaletto, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cittadella, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ospitaletto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Novara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Novara 1.3 xG, Ospitaletto 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Novara 39%, draw 23%, Ospitaletto 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Ospitaletto to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novara 1–1 Ospitaletto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Novara39%fair 2.54 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Ospitaletto38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.47Expected goals
1.25Novara xG
1.22Ospitaletto xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Novara 1.3 – 1.2 Ospitaletto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novara to win✗
39%
2.54
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.83
Draw no bet
Novara (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Ospitaletto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.08
First team to score
Novara to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novara / FT Novara✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.38
–
Recent results
Novara – last 6
DDLWDD
20 Sep
vs Athletic Carpi
2–2
D
17 Sep
@ Lumezzane
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Pergolettese
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Renate
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Livorno
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Folgore Caratese
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ospitaletto – last 6
LDWWDW
20 Sep
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Athletic Carpi
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Juventus U23
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Lumezzane
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novara and Ospitaletto.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Novara vs Ospitaletto?
On our numbers Novara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ospitaletto 38%.
How many goals will there be in Novara vs Ospitaletto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Novara vs Ospitaletto?
Our predicted score is Novara 1–1 Ospitaletto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Novara vs Ospitaletto?
Novara vs Ospitaletto (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Silvio Piola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
