Value bet: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 travel to face Latina on Wednesday 16 September in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Domenico Francioni the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Latina are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Latina, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gubbio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Guidonia Montecelio 1937, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Reggiana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latina 1.2 xG, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latina 36%, draw 26%, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latina 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latina36%fair 2.77 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.70
Guidonia Montecelio 193738%fair 2.63 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.17Latina xG
1.21Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Latina 1.2 – 1.2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to win✗
38%
2.63
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Latina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.61
–
Recent results
Latina – last 6
LWWLDD
12 Sep
@ Gubbio
1–3
L
9 Sep
@ Grosseto
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Forli
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Ravenna
1–3
L
23 Aug
vs Pineto
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Ostia Mare
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6
DWLWWL
12 Sep
vs Reggiana
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Pianese
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Atalanta II
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Gubbio
3–0
W
14 Aug
@ Grosseto
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latina and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
What is the prediction for Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
On our numbers Latina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 38%.
How many goals will there be in Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Our predicted score is Latina 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
Latina vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
