Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultPineto to win ✗41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Pineto vs Forli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Pineto v Forli in the Serie C Girone B, played at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani. In the table, Pineto are 11th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Forli are 14th (lower half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pineto, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sambenedettese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Forli, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vis Pesaro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Pineto 3–2 Forli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pineto 1.6 xG, Forli 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pineto 41%, draw 25%, Forli 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pineto 1–1 Forli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pineto41%fair 2.47 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Forli35%fair 2.87 · @2.62
3.00Expected goals
1.56Pineto xG
1.44Forli xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pineto 1.6 – 1.4 Forli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pineto vs Forli?
On our numbers Pineto have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Forli 35%.
How many goals will there be in Pineto vs Forli?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pineto vs Forli?
Our predicted score is Pineto 1–1 Forli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pineto vs Forli?
Pineto vs Forli (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.