Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBari to win ✓65% · @1.30
Double chanceBari or draw ✓85% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Bari vs Cosenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the Serie C Girone C brings Bari against Cosenza at Stadio San Nicola. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Bari are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 13 matches; Cosenza are 19th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bari, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sorrento, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Cosenza, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Scafatese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bari, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Cosenza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bari 1.9 xG, Cosenza 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bari 65%, draw 20%, Cosenza 15%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bari 2–0 Cosenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bari65%fair 1.54 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.10
Cosenza15%fair 6.71 · @9.00
2.69Expected goals
1.91Bari xG
0.77Cosenza xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bari 1.9 – 0.8 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bari to win✓
65%
1.54
1.30
Double chance
Bari or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.50 ▲
Draw no bet
Bari (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Bari -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
First team to score
Bari to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Bari ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bari / FT Bari✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Bari – last 6
WDWWDL
19 Sep
@ Sorrento
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Potenza
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Team Altamura
3–0
W
5 Sep
vs Casarano
1–0
W
1 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Barletta
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cosenza – last 6
DLDLLL
19 Sep
vs Scafatese
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–5
L
12 Sep
vs Cavese
0–0
D
7 Sep
@ Catania
0–4
L
2 Sep
@ Sorrento
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Potenza
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Cosenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bari vs Cosenza?
On our numbers Bari have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cosenza 15%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Cosenza?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bari vs Cosenza?
Our predicted score is Bari 2–0 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bari vs Cosenza?
Bari vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
