Value bet: Audace Cerignola to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAZ Picerno to win ✓41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.47
AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 26 September: AZ Picerno v Audace Cerignola in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. In the table, AZ Picerno are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Audace Cerignola are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AZ Picerno, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Team Altamura, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Audace Cerignola, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Casertana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Audace Cerignola, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for AZ Picerno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Picerno 1.5 xG, Audace Cerignola 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Picerno 41%, draw 23%, Audace Cerignola 35%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Audace Cerignola to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Picerno 1–1 Audace Cerignola. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Picerno41%fair 2.42 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Audace Cerignola35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
2.80Expected goals
1.47AZ Picerno xG
1.33Audace Cerignola xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.5 – 1.3 Audace Cerignola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Picerno to win✓
41%
2.42
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.83
Draw no bet
AZ Picerno (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Audace Cerignola +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
AZ Picerno to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Picerno / FT AZ Picerno✓
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.47
–
Recent results
AZ Picerno – last 6
LLLWDW
19 Sep
@ Team Altamura
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Catania
2–4
L
12 Sep
@ Sorrento
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Inter U23
4–1
W
1 Sep
@ Bari
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Scafatese
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Audace Cerignola – last 6
DLWWLW
19 Sep
vs Casertana
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Casarano
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Giugliano
4–0
W
6 Sep
@ Foggia
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Cavese
1–3
L
22 Aug
vs Cosenza
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Picerno and Audace Cerignola.
What is the prediction for AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Audace Cerignola 35%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 1–1 Audace Cerignola, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola?
AZ Picerno vs Audace Cerignola (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
