Cavese v Savoia Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCavese to win ✓43% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Cavese vs Savoia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Savoia travel to face Cavese on Saturday 26 September in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Simonetta Lamberti the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Cavese are 11th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Savoia are 18th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Cavese, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Potenza, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Savoia, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Casarano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Savoia, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Cavese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cavese 1.4 xG, Savoia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Cavese 43%, draw 23%, Savoia 34%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Savoia to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cavese 1–1 Savoia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cavese43%fair 2.31 · @2.00

Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10

Savoia34%fair 2.95 · @3.40

2.59Expected goals

1.40Cavese xG

1.20Savoia xG

59%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

0–19%

2–19%

0–07%

1–27%

From our goals model: Cavese 1.4 – 1.2 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cavese to win ✓	43%	2.31	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.70	1.91 ▲
Draw no bet	Cavese (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Savoia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	88%	1.14	1.07
First team to score	Cavese to score first ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cavese / FT Cavese ✓	24%	4.12	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.46	–

Cavese – last 6

LLDDWL

20 Sep	@ Potenza	2–4	L
15 Sep	vs Sorrento	2–3	L
12 Sep	@ Cosenza	0–0	D
6 Sep	@ Salernitana	1–1	D
28 Aug	vs Audace Cerignola	3–1	W
21 Aug	@ Bari	0–3	L

1.3Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Savoia – last 6

DDDWWL

19 Sep	vs Casarano	1–1	D
15 Sep	@ Foggia	0–0	D
12 Sep	vs Crotone	1–1	D
6 Sep	@ Team Altamura	2–0	W
2 Sep	@ Catania	3–0	W
29 Aug	vs Casertana	1–2	L

1.3Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	+7	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	+13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	+5	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	SS Monopoli	13	5	5	3	+4	20
7	Inter U23	13	6	2	5	+2	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Sorrento	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	AZ Picerno	13	6	1	6	+3	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	+1	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	-2	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	-6	15
18	Savoia	13	2	6	5	-7	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	-9	1

Team

Pts

+17

+13

-6

-12

-2

-2

-3

-6

-7

-13

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cavese vs Savoia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Cavese vs Savoia?

On our numbers Cavese have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Savoia 34%.

How many goals will there be in Cavese vs Savoia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cavese vs Savoia?

Our predicted score is Cavese 1–1 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Cavese vs Savoia?

Cavese vs Savoia (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Simonetta Lamberti.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Cavese v Savoia: numbers & prediction