Crotone vs Salernitana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crotone welcome Salernitana to Stadio Ezio Scida for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Saturday 26 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Salernitana are 14th (lower half) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Crotone, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SS Monopoli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Salernitana, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Giugliano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salernitana, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Crotone.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Crotone 0–1 Salernitana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.1 xG, Salernitana 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 31%, draw 22%, Salernitana 47%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–1 Salernitana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crotone31%fair 3.23 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Salernitana47%fair 2.11 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.13Crotone xG
1.48Salernitana xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Crotone 1.1 – 1.5 Salernitana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Crotone vs Salernitana?
On our numbers Crotone have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Salernitana 47%.
How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Salernitana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Salernitana?
Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Salernitana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crotone vs Salernitana?
Crotone vs Salernitana (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
