Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.25
Canada vs Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chile travel to face Canada on Sunday 27 September in the Friendlies, with BMO Field the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Canada, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Morocco, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Chile, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Congo DR, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canada 1.7 xG, Chile 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canada 62%, draw 25%, Chile 12%.
Lower-risk option: Canada or draw (88%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canada 1–0 Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canada62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
Chile12%fair 8.13 · @5.00
2.38Expected goals
1.73Canada xG
0.65Chile xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Canada 1.7 – 0.7 Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canada to win✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Canada or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Draw no bet
Canada (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Canada -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Canada to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Canada ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canada / FT Canada✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.25
–
Recent results
Canada – last 6
LWLWDD
4 Jul
vs Morocco
0–3
L
28 Jun
@ South Africa
1–0
W
24 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Qatar
6–0
W
12 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Rep. Of Ireland
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chile – last 4
WLLW
9 Jun
@ Congo DR
2–1
W
6 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
30 Mar
@ New Zealand
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Cape Verde Islands
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canada and Chile.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Canada vs Chile?
On our numbers Canada have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chile 12%.
How many goals will there be in Canada vs Chile?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canada vs Chile?
Our predicted score is Canada 1–0 Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Canada vs Chile?
Canada vs Chile (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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