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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

China v New Zealand: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Longxing Football Stadium

China

WDWLW
0–3
FT

New Zealand

DLLDL
China 38%Draw 23%New Zealand 39% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.37
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
1

Value bet: China to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNew Zealand to win ✓39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95

China vs New Zealand: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 27 September the Friendlies brings China against New Zealand at Longxing Football Stadium. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT.

Current form

China, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Maldives, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

New Zealand, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Palestine, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours China, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for New Zealand.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give China 1.3 xG, New Zealand 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – China 38%, draw 23%, New Zealand 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: China to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: China 1–1 New Zealand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

China38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
New Zealand39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
2.71Expected goals
1.34China xG
1.37New Zealand xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: China 1.3 – 1.4 New Zealand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNew Zealand to win ✓39%2.562.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.75
Draw no betNew Zealand (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapChina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreNew Zealand to score first ✓47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT New Zealand / FT New Zealand ✓22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

China – last 5

WDWLW
24 Sepvs Maldives3–0W
9 Junvs Thailand0–0D
5 Jun@ Singapore2–1W
31 Marvs Cameroon0–2L
27 Marvs Curaçao2–0W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

New Zealand – last 6

DLLDLL
24 Sep@ Palestine2–2D
27 Junvs Belgium1–5L
22 Junvs Egypt1–3L
16 Jun@ Iran2–2D
6 Jun@ England0–1L
3 Jun@ Haiti0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between China and New Zealand.

China vs New Zealand head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Canada1 Chile0 162%1.70X25%3.60212%5.00 1.7–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Mexico1 Colombia1 138%2.50X22%3.25241%2.45 1.2–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@1.83 ✓
FT Cook Islands1 Tahiti3 114%18.00X14%9.50272%1.10 X2Tahiti or draw 86%@1.02 ✓
FT Vanuatu4 New Caledonia1 137%2.50X21%3.30242%2.30 1.5–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.60 ✓
FT Fiji2 Papua New Guinea0 144%2.00X22%3.30234%3.20 1.5–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 59%@1.62 ✗
FT Seychelles0 Sri Lanka3 124%2.56X52%3.28224%2.56 1.9–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.33 ✓
FT Malta2 Liechtenstein0 170%1.25X17%4.60212%11.00 1.7–0.5xG 1Malta to win 70%@1.25 ✓
FT Jordan1 Syria1 163%1.50X24%3.50213%6.00 2.7–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@2.10 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for China vs New Zealand?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win China vs New Zealand?

On our numbers China have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Zealand 39%.

How many goals will there be in China vs New Zealand?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for China vs New Zealand?

Our predicted score is China 1–1 New Zealand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is China vs New Zealand?

China vs New Zealand (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Longxing Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.