Mexico vs Colombia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colombia travel to face Mexico on Sunday 27 September in the Friendlies, with M&T Bank Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT.
Current form
Mexico, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to England, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Colombia, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Switzerland, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mexico 1.2 xG, Colombia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mexico 38%, draw 22%, Colombia 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mexico 1–1 Colombia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mexico38%fair 2.66 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Colombia41%fair 2.46 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.22Mexico xG
1.28Colombia xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mexico 1.2 – 1.3 Colombia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colombia to win✗
41%
2.46
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Colombia (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Mexico +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Colombia to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colombia / FT Colombia✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.17
–
Recent results
Mexico – last 6
LWWWWW
6 Jul
vs England
2–3
L
1 Jul
vs Ecuador
2–0
W
25 Jun
@ Czechia
3–0
W
19 Jun
vs South Korea
1–0
W
11 Jun
vs South Africa
2–0
W
5 Jun
vs Serbia
5–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colombia – last 6
DWDWWW
7 Jul
@ Switzerland
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Ghana
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs Portugal
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Congo DR
1–0
W
18 Jun
@ Uzbekistan
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Jordan
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mexico and Colombia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Mexico vs Colombia?
On our numbers Mexico have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colombia 41%.
How many goals will there be in Mexico vs Colombia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mexico vs Colombia?
Our predicted score is Mexico 1–1 Colombia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mexico vs Colombia?
Mexico vs Colombia (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at M&T Bank Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Canada1
Chile0
Cook Islands1
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Fiji2
Papua New Guinea0
China0
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Malta2
Liechtenstein0
Jordan1
Syria1