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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Audace Cerignola v SS Monopoli: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Domenico Monterisi

Audace Cerignola

DLWWL
1–1
FTPens 2–4

SS Monopoli

LLDDW
Audace Cerignola 38%Draw 23%SS Monopoli 39% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.16
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: SS Monopoli to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.03

Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Audace Cerignola v SS Monopoli in the Coppa Italia Serie C, played at Stadio Domenico Monterisi.

Current form

Audace Cerignola, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Latina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

SS Monopoli, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lecce, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Audace Cerignola, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for SS Monopoli.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Audace Cerignola 1.1 xG, SS Monopoli 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Audace Cerignola 38%, draw 23%, SS Monopoli 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: SS Monopoli to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Audace Cerignola 1–1 SS Monopoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Audace Cerignola38%fair 2.65 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
SS Monopoli39%fair 2.57 · @3.10
2.29Expected goals
1.13Audace Cerignola xG
1.16SS Monopoli xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Audace Cerignola 1.1 – 1.2 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSS Monopoli to win ✗39%2.573.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.942.00
Draw no betSS Monopoli (draw no bet)51%1.97–
Asian handicapAudace Cerignola +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreSS Monopoli to score first45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli ✗21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.03–

Recent results

Audace Cerignola – last 6

DLWWLW
6 Aprvs Latina1–1D
29 Mar@ Crotone1–3L
22 Marvs Giugliano1–0W
15 Marvs Sorrento3–2W
9 Mar@ Atalanta II2–3L
5 Marvs Trapani 19054–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

SS Monopoli – last 6

LLDDWL
9 Aug@ Lecce0–1L
12 Apr@ Atalanta II0–2L
4 Aprvs Trapani 19051–1D
29 Mar@ AZ Picerno0–0D
23 Marvs Benevento2–1W
15 Mar@ Casertana1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Audace Cerignola and SS Monopoli.

Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT AZ Picerno2 Barletta1 125%2.35X53%3.10222%2.70 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Casertana1 Savoia2 159%1.95X24%3.20217%3.50 1.6–0.7xG 1XCasertana or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Grosseto2 Guidonia Montecelio 19373 133%2.70X23%3.00243%2.45 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Pineto1 Gubbio2 138%2.30X23%3.00238%2.90 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT PRO Vercelli1 Pergolettese1 Pens 6–5 136%2.50X24%2.90240%2.62 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Trento2 Ospitaletto1 158%1.73X25%3.40217%4.20 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Vado1 Inter U231 Pens 7–6 122%2.80X53%3.00225%2.35 1.1–1.2xG X2Inter U23 or draw 78%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

On our numbers Audace Cerignola have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SS Monopoli 39%.

How many goals will there be in Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Our predicted score is Audace Cerignola 1–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Monterisi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.