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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Casertana v Savoia: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Alberto Pinto

Casertana

DDWDW
1–2
FT

Savoia

LWWWW
Casertana 59%Draw 24%Savoia 17% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.73
83%
Betarazi pick

Casertana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Casertana to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCasertana to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceCasertana or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93

Casertana vs Savoia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Casertana welcome Savoia to Stadio Alberto Pinto for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Friday 14 August (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Casertana, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Salernitana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Savoia, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Scafatese, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Savoia, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Casertana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Casertana 1.6 xG, Savoia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Casertana 59%, draw 24%, Savoia 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Casertana or draw (83%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Casertana to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Casertana or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casertana 1–0 Savoia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Casertana59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.20
Savoia17%fair 5.86 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.62Casertana xG
0.73Savoia xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Casertana 1.6 – 0.7 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCasertana to win ✗59%1.691.95 ▲
Double chanceCasertana or draw ✗83%1.211.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.862.00 ▲
Draw no betCasertana (draw no bet) ✗78%1.29–
Asian handicapSavoia +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreCasertana to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Casertana / FT Casertana ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.93–

Recent results

Casertana – last 6

DDWDWL
13 May@ Salernitana1–1D
6 Mayvs Crotone1–1D
15 Marvs SS Monopoli2–1W
9 Mar@ Catania0–0D
5 Marvs Salernitana1–0W
1 Mar@ Siracusa0–4L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Savoia – last 6

LWWWWW
13 Mayvs Scafatese1–4L
3 Mayvs Sancataldese3–0W
26 Apr@ AC Palermo3–1W
19 Aprvs Igea Virtus3–0W
2 Aprvs Messina2–0W
29 Marvs Ragusa2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Casertana and Savoia.

Casertana vs Savoia head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

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FT AZ Picerno2 Barletta1 125%2.35X53%3.10222%2.70 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Audace Cerignola1 SS Monopoli1 Pens 2–4 138%2.20X23%3.00239%3.10 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Grosseto2 Guidonia Montecelio 19373 133%2.70X23%3.00243%2.45 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Pineto1 Gubbio2 138%2.30X23%3.00238%2.90 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT PRO Vercelli1 Pergolettese1 Pens 6–5 136%2.50X24%2.90240%2.62 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Trento2 Ospitaletto1 158%1.73X25%3.40217%4.20 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Vado1 Inter U231 Pens 7–6 122%2.80X53%3.00225%2.35 1.1–1.2xG X2Inter U23 or draw 78%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Casertana vs Savoia?

Our pick is Casertana or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Casertana vs Savoia?

On our numbers Casertana have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Savoia 17%.

How many goals will there be in Casertana vs Savoia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Casertana vs Savoia?

Our predicted score is Casertana 1–0 Savoia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Casertana vs Savoia?

Casertana vs Savoia (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.