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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Grosseto v Guidonia Montecelio 1937: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Carlo Zecchini

Grosseto

WLWLL
2–3
FT

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

LLDLL
Grosseto 33%Draw 23%Guidonia Montecelio 1937 43% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.28
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.94

Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 travel to face Grosseto on Friday 14 August in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Stadio Carlo Zecchini the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Grosseto, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Terranuova Traiana, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Guidonia Montecelio 1937, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Athletic Carpi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Grosseto, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Guidonia Montecelio 1937.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Grosseto 1.1 xG, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Grosseto 33%, draw 23%, Guidonia Montecelio 1937 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Grosseto 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Grosseto33%fair 3.02 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.00
Guidonia Montecelio 193743%fair 2.30 · @2.45
2.36Expected goals
1.07Grosseto xG
1.28Guidonia Montecelio 1937 xG
57%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Grosseto 1.1 – 1.3 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to win ✓43%2.302.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.91 ▲
Draw no betGuidonia Montecelio 1937 (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapGrosseto +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.721.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.121.07
First team to scoreGuidonia Montecelio 1937 to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 / FT Guidonia Montecelio 1937 ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.94–

Recent results

Grosseto – last 6

WLWLLL
8 Augvs Terranuova Traiana3–1W
29 Julvs San Donato Tavarnelle1–2L
17 May@ Desenzano Calvina1–0W
13 Mayvs Ostia Mare2–3L
26 Aprvs San Donato Tavarnelle0–2L
19 Apr@ Prato0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guidonia Montecelio 1937 – last 6

LLDLLL
26 Aprvs Athletic Carpi2–3L
12 Apr@ Juventus U230–1L
29 Mar@ Campobasso FC2–2D
8 Marvs Sambenedettese0–1L
4 Mar@ Torres1–2L
1 Marvs Gubbio0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Grosseto and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.

Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

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FT Audace Cerignola1 SS Monopoli1 Pens 2–4 138%2.20X23%3.00239%3.10 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Casertana1 Savoia2 159%1.95X24%3.20217%3.50 1.6–0.7xG 1XCasertana or draw 83%@1.22 ✗
FT Pineto1 Gubbio2 138%2.30X23%3.00238%2.90 1.1–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT PRO Vercelli1 Pergolettese1 Pens 6–5 136%2.50X24%2.90240%2.62 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Trento2 Ospitaletto1 158%1.73X25%3.40217%4.20 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Vado1 Inter U231 Pens 7–6 122%2.80X53%3.00225%2.35 1.1–1.2xG X2Inter U23 or draw 78%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

On our numbers Grosseto have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 43%.

How many goals will there be in Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

Our predicted score is Grosseto 1–1 Guidonia Montecelio 1937, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?

Grosseto vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Zecchini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.