Burnley W 12%Draw 20%Aston Villa W 67%Expected goals 1.10 – 2.57
67%
Betarazi pick
Aston Villa W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAston Villa W to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceAston Villa W or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Burnley W welcome Aston Villa W to Turf Moor for a WSL Cup fixture on Wednesday 21 October (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Burnley W, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Durham W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aston Villa W, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Liverpool W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aston Villa W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Burnley W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley W 1.1 xG, Aston Villa W 2.6 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley W 12%, draw 20%, Aston Villa W 67%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aston Villa W to win (67%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley W 1–2 Aston Villa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley W12%fair 8.01 · @11.00
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.00
Aston Villa W67%fair 1.49 · @1.22
3.67Expected goals
1.10Burnley W xG
2.57Aston Villa W xG
56%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Burnley W 1.1 – 2.6 Aston Villa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aston Villa W to win✓
67%
1.49
1.22
Double chance
Aston Villa W or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.85
Draw no bet
Aston Villa W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Aston Villa W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
First team to score
Aston Villa W to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Aston Villa W ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W✓
46%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Burnley W – last 6
WLDLLD
18 Oct
vs Durham W
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Nottingham Forest W
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bristol City W
0–0
D
18 Sep
@ Wolverhampton W
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sunderland W
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Watford W
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa W – last 6
WDWLWD
18 Oct
vs Liverpool W
2–1
W
4 Oct
vs Crystal Palace W
1–1
D
30 Sep
vs Newcastle United W
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Tottenham Hotspur W
0–4
L
23 Sep
@ Nottingham Forest W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Brighton W
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley W and Aston Villa W.
What is the prediction for Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
Our pick is Aston Villa W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
On our numbers Burnley W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aston Villa W 67%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
Our predicted score is Burnley W 1–2 Aston Villa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Turf Moor.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Durham W0
Birmingham City W5
Everton W2
Newcastle United W0
Liverpool W3
Manchester United W5
Southampton W3
Crystal Palace W2
West Ham W1
London City Lionesses W2
Charlton Athletic W2
Bristol City W0