Everton W 65%Draw 21%Newcastle United W 14%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.62
86%
Betarazi pick
Everton W or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Everton W to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEverton W to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceEverton W or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Everton W vs Newcastle United W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 21 October: Everton W v Newcastle United W in the WSL Cup, played at Goodison Park.
Current form
Everton W, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to London City Lionesses W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Newcastle United W, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sunderland W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Everton W 1.7 xG, Newcastle United W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Everton W 65%, draw 21%, Newcastle United W 14%.
Lower-risk option: Everton W or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Everton W to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Everton W or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton W 1–0 Newcastle United W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Everton W65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Newcastle United W14%fair 7.13 · @4.20
2.33Expected goals
1.71Everton W xG
0.62Newcastle United W xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Everton W 1.7 – 0.6 Newcastle United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Everton W to win✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Everton W or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Draw no bet
Everton W (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Everton W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Everton W to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Everton W ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Everton W / FT Everton W✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Everton W – last 6
LWLWWW
18 Oct
@ London City Lionesses W
1–2
L
4 Oct
vs Birmingham City W
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Liverpool W
0–2
L
23 Sep
vs Birmingham City W
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ West Ham W
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Charlton Athletic W
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Newcastle United W – last 6
LWLWWW
18 Oct
vs Sunderland W
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Durham W
3–0
W
30 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
1–3
L
27 Sep
vs Leicester City FC W
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Sheffield United W
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bristol City W
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Everton W and Newcastle United W.
What is the prediction for Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Our pick is Everton W or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
On our numbers Everton W have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newcastle United W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Our predicted score is Everton W 1–0 Newcastle United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Everton W vs Newcastle United W?
Everton W vs Newcastle United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Goodison Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley W0
Aston Villa W2
Durham W0
Birmingham City W5
Liverpool W3
Manchester United W5
Southampton W3
Crystal Palace W2
West Ham W1
London City Lionesses W2
Charlton Athletic W2
Bristol City W0