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Liverpool W v Manchester United W: numbers & prediction

WSL Cup · England · St Helens Stadium

Liverpool W

LLWWW
3–5
FT

Manchester United W

WWWWW
Liverpool W 28%Draw 21%Manchester United W 50% Expected goals 3.36 – 4.14
77%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultManchester United W to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓77% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–4 ✗4% · fair 23.37

Liverpool W vs Manchester United W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 21 October the WSL Cup brings Liverpool W against Manchester United W at St Helens Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Liverpool W, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aston Villa W, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Manchester United W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Charlton Athletic W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours Manchester United W, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Liverpool W.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Oct 2026) it ended Manchester United W 1–0 Liverpool W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool W 3.4 xG, Manchester United W 4.1 xG – a total near 7.5. That is an open game on paper: 98% for three or more goals, 77% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool W 28%, draw 21%, Manchester United W 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (77%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (77%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool W 3–4 Manchester United W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Liverpool W28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Manchester United W50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
7.50Expected goals
3.36Liverpool W xG
4.14Manchester United W xG
77%Both score
98%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–44%
3–34%
2–44%
2–34%
4–44%
3–54%

From our goals model: Liverpool W 3.4 – 4.1 Manchester United W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultManchester United W to win ✓50%1.992.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓77%1.311.55 ▲
Draw no betManchester United W (draw no bet) ✓64%1.56–
Asian handicapLiverpool W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreManchester United W to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultManchester United W ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Manchester United W / FT Manchester United W ✓36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–4 ✗4%23.37–

Recent results

Liverpool W – last 6

LLWWWL
18 Oct@ Aston Villa W1–2L
3 Oct@ Manchester United W0–1L
30 Sep@ Birmingham City W4–3W
27 Sepvs Everton W2–0W
23 Sepvs Sunderland W4–2W
18 Sep@ Manchester City W2–4L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Manchester United W – last 6

WWWWWD
18 Oct@ Charlton Athletic W3–1W
3 Octvs Liverpool W1–0W
30 Sep@ Durham W5–1W
27 Sepvs West Ham W2–1W
23 Sepvs Sheffield United W10–1W
19 Sep@ Arsenal W1–1D
3.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Manchester United W v Liverpool W1–0
Liverpool W vs Manchester United W head-to-head page →

More WSL Cup predictions

League hub
FT Burnley W0 Aston Villa W2 112%11.00X20%5.00267%1.22 1.1–2.6xG 2Aston Villa W to win 67%@1.22 ✓
FT Durham W0 Birmingham City W5 19%7.50X19%4.80272%1.30 1.5–3.5xG 2Birmingham City W to win 72%@1.30 ✓
FT Everton W2 Newcastle United W0 165%1.70X21%3.50214%4.20 1.7–0.6xG 1XEverton W or draw 86%@1.20 ✓
FT Southampton W3 Crystal Palace W2 121%3.60X23%3.20256%1.91 1.0–1.8xG X2Crystal Palace W or draw 79%@1.25 ✗
FT West Ham W1 London City Lionesses W2 116%4.00X26%3.40259%1.73 0.6–1.4xG X2London City Lionesses W or draw 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Charlton Athletic W2 Bristol City W0 132%2.45X22%3.30247%2.45 1.5–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.55 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Liverpool W vs Manchester United W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Liverpool W vs Manchester United W?

On our numbers Liverpool W have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Manchester United W 50%.

How many goals will there be in Liverpool W vs Manchester United W?

We expect about 7.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 98% likely and both teams score 77% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool W vs Manchester United W?

Our predicted score is Liverpool W 3–4 Manchester United W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.5 goals in total.

When is Liverpool W vs Manchester United W?

Liverpool W vs Manchester United W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at St Helens Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.