Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 64% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham City W to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceBirmingham City W or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.65
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.79
Durham W vs Birmingham City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 21 October the WSL Cup brings Durham W against Birmingham City W at Wolf Competitions Stadium. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Durham W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Burnley W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.5 conceded per game.
Birmingham City W, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arsenal W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Durham W 1.5 xG, Birmingham City W 3.5 xG – a total near 5.0. That is an open game on paper: 88% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Durham W 9%, draw 19%, Birmingham City W 72%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Birmingham City W to win (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Durham W 1–3 Birmingham City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Durham W9%fair 11.49 · @7.50
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @4.80
Birmingham City W72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
5.00Expected goals
1.48Durham W xG
3.52Birmingham City W xG
64%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
0–35%
2–45%
From our goals model: Durham W 1.5 – 3.5 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Birmingham City W to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Double chance
Birmingham City W or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Birmingham City W (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Birmingham City W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Birmingham City W to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Birmingham City W ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Birmingham City W / FT Birmingham City W✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.79
–
Recent results
Durham W – last 6
LLLLLL
18 Oct
@ Burnley W
2–3
L
4 Oct
vs Newcastle United W
0–3
L
30 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–5
L
27 Sep
@ Sheffield United W
1–4
L
20 Sep
vs Nottingham Forest W
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Leicester City FC W
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Birmingham City W – last 6
DLLDLL
17 Oct
@ Arsenal W
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Everton W
1–2
L
30 Sep
vs Liverpool W
3–4
L
27 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
3–3
D
23 Sep
@ Everton W
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Durham W and Birmingham City W.
What is the prediction for Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Birmingham City W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Durham W have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Birmingham City W 72%.
How many goals will there be in Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Durham W 1–3 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Durham W vs Birmingham City W?
Durham W vs Birmingham City W (WSL Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Wolf Competitions Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burnley W0
Aston Villa W2
Everton W2
Newcastle United W0
Liverpool W3
Manchester United W5
Southampton W3
Crystal Palace W2
West Ham W1
London City Lionesses W2
Charlton Athletic W2
Bristol City W0