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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Águilas v Lorca Deportiva: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Águilas

DWWLW
1–0
FT

Lorca Deportiva

LDDLL
Águilas 58%Draw 26%Lorca Deportiva 17% Expected goals 1.26 – 0.49
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultÁguilas to win ✓58% · @1.65
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.56

Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Águilas welcome Lorca Deportiva for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 15 August (19:00 WAT).

Current form

Águilas, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Poblense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Lorca Deportiva, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportiva Minera, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Águilas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Lorca Deportiva.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águilas 1.3 xG, Lorca Deportiva 0.5 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas 58%, draw 26%, Lorca Deportiva 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águilas58%fair 1.73 · @1.65
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.40
Lorca Deportiva17%fair 6.02 · @4.50
1.75Expected goals
1.26Águilas xG
0.49Lorca Deportiva xG
38%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Águilas 1.3 – 0.5 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultÁguilas to win ✓58%1.731.65
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓83%1.201.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓62%1.62–
Draw no betÁguilas (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapLorca Deportiva +1 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.551.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreÁguilas to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Águilas / FT Águilas ✓33%3.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22%4.56–

Recent results

Águilas – last 6

DWWLWW
24 Mayvs Poblense0–0D
17 Mayvs Utebo2–1W
3 Mayvs Almería II2–0W
26 Apr@ Estepona1–2L
12 Apr@ Melilla1–0W
5 Aprvs Xerez Deportivo3–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lorca Deportiva – last 6

LDDLLW
3 May@ Deportiva Minera0–1L
26 Aprvs Yeclano2–2D
5 Apr@ Almería II1–1D
22 Mar@ Melilla1–2L
15 Marvs Estepona0–2L
8 Marvs Xerez Deportivo1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Lorca Deportiva.

Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 122%3.30X20%3.30258%1.95 0.8–1.5xG 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 58%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 151%1.97X20%3.85229%3.35 2.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Chelsea3 Real Sociedad1 167%1.58X20%4.40213%4.80 2.5–1.1xG 1Chelsea to win 67%@1.58 ✓
FT Bayern München3 RB Leipzig1 170%1.35X18%5.40212%7.00 2.5–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Aston Villa1 142%3.00X19%4.10239%2.04 2.1–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 137%2.70X21%3.65242%2.35 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Leeds4 FC Augsburg0 163%1.80X20%3.60217%3.60 3.6–2.1xG 1XLeeds or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X20%3.75235%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

On our numbers Águilas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lorca Deportiva 17%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

Our predicted score is Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?

Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.