Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParma to win ✓71% · @1.29
Double chanceParma or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.50
Parma vs Catania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 14 August: Parma v Catania in the Coppa Italia, played at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sampdoria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Catania, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vicenza Virtus, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 2.2 xG, Catania 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 71%, draw 17%, Catania 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 2–0 Catania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma71%fair 1.42 · @1.29
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.85
Catania12%fair 8.39 · @11.50
2.95Expected goals
2.19Parma xG
0.76Catania xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Parma 2.2 – 0.8 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✓
71%
1.42
1.29
Double chance
Parma or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Parma (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Parma -1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Parma to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Parma ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.50
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LDDWLL
9 Aug
vs Sampdoria
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–1
D
24 May
vs Sassuolo
1–0
W
17 May
@ Como
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Torino
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Catania – last 6
DWLDDL
8 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
1–1
D
27 May
vs Ascoli
2–1
W
24 May
@ Ascoli
0–4
L
20 May
vs Lecco
3–3
D
17 May
@ Lecco
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Crotone
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Catania.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Parma vs Catania?
On our numbers Parma have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Catania 12%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Catania?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Parma 2–0 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Catania?
Parma vs Catania (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1