Cagliari vs Arezzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Coppa Italia brings Cagliari against Arezzo at Unipol Domus. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Cagliari, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nice, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Arezzo, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Union Brescia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 1.8 xG, Arezzo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 66%, draw 21%, Arezzo 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 1–0 Arezzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari66%fair 1.52 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.65
Arezzo13%fair 7.73 · @9.00
2.45Expected goals
1.81Cagliari xG
0.64Arezzo xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.8 – 0.6 Arezzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Double chance
Cagliari or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.00
Draw no bet
Cagliari (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Cagliari -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.17
First team to score
Cagliari to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Cagliari ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Cagliari – last 6
DDWDWW
8 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Sampdoria
0–0
D
24 May
@ AC Milan
2–1
W
17 May
vs Torino
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arezzo – last 6
WDLDWW
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
22 Jul
@ Napoli
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Torres
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Arezzo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Cagliari vs Arezzo?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arezzo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Arezzo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Arezzo?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–0 Arezzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Arezzo?
Cagliari vs Arezzo (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Unipol Domus
Parma2
Catania0
Monza3
Avellino0
Fiorentina4
Benevento1