Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
O3.5
Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.55 – our chance 58% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +49%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina to win ✓68% · @1.26
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @2.10
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.62
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 16.36
Fiorentina vs Benevento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:15 WAT, Friday 14 August: Fiorentina v Benevento in the Coppa Italia, played at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Current form
Fiorentina, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportivo La Coruna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Benevento, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Ravenna, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentina 3.7 xG, Benevento 1.9 xG – a total near 5.5. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentina 68%, draw 19%, Benevento 13%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (88%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.14, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentina 3–1 Benevento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentina68%fair 1.47 · @1.26
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @5.30
Benevento13%fair 7.93 · @11.00
5.51Expected goals
3.66Fiorentina xG
1.85Benevento xG
67%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–16%
3–26%
4–16%
4–25%
2–15%
2–25%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 3.7 – 1.9 Benevento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fiorentina to win✓
68%
1.47
1.26
Double chance
Fiorentina or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Fiorentina (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentina -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.62 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
2.55 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.20
First team to score
Fiorentina to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Fiorentina ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fiorentina / FT Fiorentina✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
6%
16.36
–
Recent results
Fiorentina – last 6
DDWLWW
6 Aug
vs Deportivo La Coruna
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Real Madrid
2–2
D
29 Jul
@ Watford
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ QPR
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Gubbio
1–0
W
19 Jul
vs Fiorentina U20
8–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Benevento – last 6
WDWWLW
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Ostia Mare
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Cavese
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentina and Benevento.
What is the prediction for Fiorentina vs Benevento?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Benevento?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Benevento 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Benevento?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Benevento?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 3–1 Benevento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Benevento?
Fiorentina vs Benevento (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 20:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Coppa Italia · Italy · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Parma2
Catania0
Cagliari1
Arezzo0
Monza3
Avellino0