Ironi Baka El Garbiya v Ironi Nesher Prediction & Expected Goals (9 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIroni Baka El Garbiya to win ✗44% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ironi Nesher travel to face Ironi Baka El Garbiya on Wednesday 9 September in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th, lower half, on 31 points after 22 matches; Ironi Nesher are 11th (lower half) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 4: DDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maccabi Neve Sha'anan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Ironi Nesher, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Tzeirey Tamra, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.

Momentum favours Ironi Nesher, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Ironi Baka El Garbiya.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Feb 2026) it ended Ironi Nesher 0–0 Ironi Baka El Garbiya.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.7 xG, Ironi Nesher 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ironi Baka El Garbiya 44%, draw 21%, Ironi Nesher 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Ironi Nesher. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ironi Baka El Garbiya44%fair 2.29 · @2.20

Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40

Ironi Nesher35%fair 2.85 · @2.75

3.14Expected goals

1.67Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG

1.47Ironi Nesher xG

52%Both score

57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–28%

1–07%

2–27%

0–16%

From our goals model: Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.7 – 1.5 Ironi Nesher expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win ✗	44%	2.29	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.27	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.91	–
Draw no bet	Ironi Baka El Garbiya (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.80	–
Asian handicap	Ironi Nesher +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Ironi Baka El Garbiya to score first ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	39%	2.59	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya ✗	26%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.27	–

Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 4

DDLL

5 Sep	@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	0–0	D
27 Feb	@ Ironi Nesher	0–0	D
20 Feb	vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0–3	L
13 Feb	@ Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	0–1	L

0.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Ironi Nesher – last 4

WDLW

4 Sep	vs Tzeirey Tamra	6–1	W
27 Feb	vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya	0–0	D
19 Feb	@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0–3	L
13 Feb	vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3–1	W

2.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?

On our numbers Ironi Baka El Garbiya have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Nesher 35%.

How many goals will there be in Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?

Our predicted score is Ironi Baka El Garbiya 2–1 Ironi Nesher, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher?

Ironi Baka El Garbiya vs Ironi Nesher (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya v Ironi Nesher: numbers & prediction