Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Sderot to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceHapoel Sderot or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 9 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Sderot against Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, last 3: DWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Sderot 2.0 xG, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Sderot 59%, draw 23%, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 18%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Sderot or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Sderot to win (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.70, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Sderot59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.40
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi18%fair 5.62 · @3.80
3.11Expected goals
2.05Hapoel Sderot xG
1.07Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Hapoel Sderot 2.0 – 1.1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Sderot to win✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Sderot or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Sderot (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Sderot -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
First team to score
Hapoel Sderot to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Sderot ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Sderot / FT Hapoel Sderot✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Hapoel Sderot – last 1
W
3 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tira
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 3
DWD
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Sderot and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our pick is Hapoel Sderot to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
On our numbers Hapoel Sderot have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Sderot 2–1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi?
Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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