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Holon Yermiyahu v Hapoel Marmorek: numbers & prediction

Liga Alef · Israel
Holon Yermiyahu 37%Draw 22%Hapoel Marmorek 42% Expected goals 0.70 – 0.78
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Marmorek to win ✗42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.62

Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:40 WAT, Wednesday 9 September: Holon Yermiyahu v Hapoel Marmorek in the Liga Alef. In the table, Holon Yermiyahu are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Marmorek are 12th (lower half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Holon Yermiyahu, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Ramat HaSharon, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Hapoel Marmorek, last 4: WDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Hadera, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Holon Yermiyahu 0.7 xG, Hapoel Marmorek 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Holon Yermiyahu 37%, draw 22%, Hapoel Marmorek 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holon Yermiyahu 0–0 Hapoel Marmorek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Holon Yermiyahu37%fair 2.72 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.30
Hapoel Marmorek42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
1.48Expected goals
0.70Holon Yermiyahu xG
0.78Hapoel Marmorek xG
38%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–023%
0–118%
1–016%
1–112%
0–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Holon Yermiyahu 0.7 – 0.8 Hapoel Marmorek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Marmorek to win ✗42%2.402.75 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓62%1.60–
Draw no betHapoel Marmorek (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapHolon Yermiyahu +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓56%1.77–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.461.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreHapoel Marmorek to score first ✗41%2.45–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18%5.62–

Recent results

Holon Yermiyahu – last 3

DDW
4 Sepvs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0–0D
20 Feb@ Maccabi Yavne1–1D
13 Febvs Beitar Yavne1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Hapoel Marmorek – last 4

WDDD
4 Sepvs Hapoel Hadera1–0W
27 Febvs Maccabi Ashdod1–1D
20 Feb@ Hapoel Herzliya1–1D
13 Febvs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Holon Yermiyahu and Hapoel Marmorek.

Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek head-to-head page →

Liga Alef table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Kiryat Gat211740+3555
2FC Jerusalem221147+1637
3Dimona221147-137
4Maccabi Yavne221066+1436
5Maccabi Kiryat Malachi221057035
6Tzeirey Tira211038+933
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868030
8Beitar Yavne229310-730
9Kfar Saba 192822787-329
10Maccabi Ashdod21777+228
11Holon Yermiyahu226610-324
12Hapoel Marmorek226610-1424
13Hapoel Azor21588-323
14Hapoel Herzliya225710-1422
15Hapoel Ramat HaSharon225512-1919
16Nordia Jerusalem223613-1215

More Liga Alef predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

On our numbers Holon Yermiyahu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hapoel Marmorek 42%.

How many goals will there be in Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Our predicted score is Holon Yermiyahu 0–0 Hapoel Marmorek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:40 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.