Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓51% · @3.30
Double chanceHapoel Hadera or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60% · fair 1.66
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗13% · fair 7.65
Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Hadera welcome Shimshon Tel Aviv to Netanya Stadium for a Liga Alef fixture on Wednesday 9 September (17:00 WAT).
Current form
Hapoel Hadera, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Marmorek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Shimshon Tel Aviv, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Ironi Beit Shemesh, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shimshon Tel Aviv, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Hapoel Hadera.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Hadera 1.1 xG, Shimshon Tel Aviv 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Hadera 28%, draw 51%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 21%.
Lower-risk option: Hapoel Hadera or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Hadera or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Shimshon Tel Aviv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Hadera28%fair 3.55 · @2.15
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Shimshon Tel Aviv21%fair 4.87 · @2.90
2.03Expected goals
1.09Hapoel Hadera xG
0.94Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
41%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hapoel Hadera 1.1 – 0.9 Shimshon Tel Aviv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
51%
1.95
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Hapoel Hadera or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Hadera (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Shimshon Tel Aviv +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Hapoel Hadera to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Hadera / FT Hapoel Hadera✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
13%
7.65
–
Recent results
Hapoel Hadera – last 6
LLDDDW
4 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
0–1
L
25 May
@ Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1–6
L
19 May
@ Hapoel Acre
0–0
D
14 May
vs Hapoel Ra'anana
3–3
D
8 May
vs Hapoel Afula
1–1
D
5 May
vs Ironi Modi'in
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 3
WWD
3 Sep
vs Ironi Beit Shemesh
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
4–2
W
19 Feb
vs Kfar Saba 1928
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Hadera and Shimshon Tel Aviv.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Our pick is Hapoel Hadera or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
On our numbers Hapoel Hadera have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Shimshon Tel Aviv 21%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Hadera 1–0 Shimshon Tel Aviv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 9 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Netanya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1
Hapoel Sderot1
Ironi Beit Shemesh1
Ironi Baka El Garbiya0
Ironi Nesher2