Value bet: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Beit Shean to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 36.69
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel travel to face Hapoel Beit Shean on Monday 19 October in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Hapoel Beit Shean are 7th, upper half, on 32 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Ironi Karmiel are 5th (upper half) with 33. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hapoel Beit Shean, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Nazareth Illit, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Beit Shean 1.3 xG, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Beit Shean 40%, draw 21%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 39%.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Beit Shean 2–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Beit Shean40%fair 2.50 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.50
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel39%fair 2.55 · @2.75
2.52Expected goals
1.27Hapoel Beit Shean xG
1.25Hapoel Ironi Karmiel xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Hapoel Beit Shean 1.3 – 1.3 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Beit Shean to win✗
40%
2.50
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Hapoel Beit Shean (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Hapoel Beit Shean to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Beit Shean / FT Hapoel Beit Shean✗
21%
4.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
3%
36.69
–
Recent results
Hapoel Beit Shean – last 6
DWWLDW
16 Oct
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
4–0
W
30 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
2–1
W
23 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Tira
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel – last 6
WWDDDW
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona
2–0
W
8 Oct
vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
1–0
W
1 Oct
@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Ironi Nesher
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Beit Shean and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
On our numbers Hapoel Beit Shean have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Beit Shean 2–1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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