Nordia Jerusalem v Hapoel Marmorek Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Marmorek to win ✓69% · @1.40

Double chanceHapoel Marmorek or draw ✓88% · @1.10

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.72

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nordia Jerusalem welcome Hapoel Marmorek for a Liga Alef fixture on Monday 19 October (16:30 WAT). In the table, Nordia Jerusalem are 16th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Marmorek are 12th (lower half) with 24.

Current form

Nordia Jerusalem, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Holon Yermiyahu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Hapoel Marmorek, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maccabi Ashdod, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Hapoel Marmorek, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.0 for Nordia Jerusalem.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nordia Jerusalem 0.7 xG, Hapoel Marmorek 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nordia Jerusalem 12%, draw 19%, Hapoel Marmorek 69%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hapoel Marmorek to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nordia Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel Marmorek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nordia Jerusalem12%fair 8.16 · @5.00

Draw19%fair 5.27 · @4.33

Hapoel Marmorek69%fair 1.45 · @1.40

2.67Expected goals

0.68Nordia Jerusalem xG

1.99Hapoel Marmorek xG

55%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

0–214%

1–19%

1–29%

0–39%

0–07%

From our goals model: Nordia Jerusalem 0.7 – 2.0 Hapoel Marmorek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hapoel Marmorek to win ✓	69%	1.45	1.40
Double chance	Hapoel Marmorek or draw ✓	88%	1.14	1.10
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.82	1.70
Draw no bet	Hapoel Marmorek (draw no bet) ✓	85%	1.18	–
Asian handicap	Hapoel Marmorek -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Hapoel Marmorek to score first ✓	69%	1.44	–
Half-time result	Hapoel Marmorek ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.07	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hapoel Marmorek / FT Hapoel Marmorek ✓	44%	2.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.72	–

Nordia Jerusalem – last 6

LLLLLL

8 Oct	@ Holon Yermiyahu	0–5	L
30 Sep	vs Hapoel Hadera	0–4	L
23 Sep	@ Ironi Beit Shemesh	0–1	L
18 Sep	vs FC Jerusalem	1–3	L
9 Sep	@ Hapoel Herzliya	1–3	L
3 Sep	vs Dimona	0–2	L

0.3Scored / game

3.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Hapoel Marmorek – last 6

DDLLLW

8 Oct	vs Maccabi Ashdod	1–1	D
1 Oct	@ Kfar Saba 1928	2–2	D
23 Sep	vs Shimshon Tel Aviv	1–2	L
18 Sep	vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	0–1	L
9 Sep	@ Holon Yermiyahu	0–1	L
4 Sep	vs Hapoel Hadera	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	+35	55
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	+16	37
3	Dimona	22	11	4	7	-1	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	+14	36
5	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	0	35
6	Tzeirey Tira	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	0	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	-7	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	-3	29
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	+2	28
11	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	-3	24
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	-14	24
13	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	-3	23
14	Hapoel Herzliya	22	5	7	10	-14	22
15	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	22	5	5	12	-19	19
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	-12	15

Team

Pts

+35

+16

-1

+14

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

-7

-3

-3

-14

-3

-14

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

-19

Nordia Jerusalem

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Our pick is Hapoel Marmorek to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

On our numbers Nordia Jerusalem have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Marmorek 69%.

How many goals will there be in Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Our predicted score is Nordia Jerusalem 0–1 Hapoel Marmorek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek?

Nordia Jerusalem vs Hapoel Marmorek (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nordia Jerusalem v Hapoel Marmorek: numbers & prediction