Tzeirey Tamra v Ironi Baka El Garbiya Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIroni Baka El Garbiya to win ✓43% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ironi Baka El Garbiya travel to face Tzeirey Tamra on Monday 19 October in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Tzeirey Tamra are 12th, lower half, on 24 points after 22 matches; Ironi Baka El Garbiya are 9th (lower half) with 31.

Current form

Tzeirey Tamra, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Ironi Baka El Garbiya, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Hapoel Nazareth Illit, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tzeirey Tamra 1.6 xG, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Tzeirey Tamra 36%, draw 21%, Ironi Baka El Garbiya 43%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Tzeirey Tamra to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tzeirey Tamra 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tzeirey Tamra36%fair 2.78 · @3.00

Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50

Ironi Baka El Garbiya43%fair 2.31 · @2.00

3.33Expected goals

1.58Tzeirey Tamra xG

1.75Ironi Baka El Garbiya xG

63%Both score

65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Tzeirey Tamra 1.6 – 1.8 Ironi Baka El Garbiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ironi Baka El Garbiya to win ✓	43%	2.31	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	63%	1.60	1.60
Draw no bet	Ironi Baka El Garbiya (draw no bet) ✓	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Tzeirey Tamra +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	72%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	57%	1.74	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
First team to score	Ironi Baka El Garbiya to score first ✓	51%	1.97	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.69	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ironi Baka El Garbiya / FT Ironi Baka El Garbiya ✓	25%	3.92	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.54	–

Tzeirey Tamra – last 6

LWWLLL

8 Oct	@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0–1	L
30 Sep	@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit	3–2	W
23 Sep	vs Hapoel Beit Shean	1–0	W
18 Sep	vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1–4	L
9 Sep	vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1–2	L
4 Sep	@ Ironi Nesher	1–6	L

1.2Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Ironi Baka El Garbiya – last 6

LLWDLD

8 Oct	vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit	1–2	L
30 Sep	@ Hapoel Beit Shean	1–2	L
23 Sep	vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	3–1	W
19 Sep	@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3–3	D
9 Sep	vs Ironi Nesher	0–2	L
5 Sep	@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

On our numbers Tzeirey Tamra have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ironi Baka El Garbiya 43%.

How many goals will there be in Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Our predicted score is Tzeirey Tamra 1–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya?

Tzeirey Tamra vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Tzeirey Tamra v Ironi Baka El Garbiya: numbers & prediction