Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Tira to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Umm al-Fahm to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm v Tira in the Liga Alef. In the table, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are 16th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 22 matches; Tira are 2nd (among the top four) with 42. There are 31 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Shefa-Amr, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Tira, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tira, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.6 xG, Tira 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 44%, draw 21%, Tira 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Tira to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Tira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Tira35%fair 2.87 · @3.10
2.91Expected goals
1.55Hapoel Umm al-Fahm xG
1.36Tira xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1.6 – 1.4 Tira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to win✗
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Tira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm / FT Hapoel Umm al-Fahm✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.22
–
Recent results
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm – last 6
WDDDWD
13 Oct
vs FC Shefa-Amr
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Beitar Nahariya
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
3–3
D
9 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tira – last 6
WWWDDW
12 Oct
vs Maccabi Ma'alot Tarshiha
3–2
W
8 Oct
vs Ironi Nesher
2–1
W
30 Sep
@ Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
3–2
W
23 Sep
vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Umm al-Fahm and Tira.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
On our numbers Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tira 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 1–1 Tira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira?
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Tira (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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