Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v FC Jerusalem Prediction & Expected Goals (19 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFC Jerusalem to win ✗65% · @1.62

Double chanceFC Jerusalem or draw ✗88% · @1.17

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Monday 19 October: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v FC Jerusalem in the Liga Alef.

Current form

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Hapoel Herzliya, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

FC Jerusalem, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Jerusalem, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0.7 xG, FC Jerusalem 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 42%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 12%, draw 22%, FC Jerusalem 65%.
Lower-risk option: FC Jerusalem or draw (88%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Jerusalem to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–1 FC Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda12%fair 8.13 · @4.20

Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.75

FC Jerusalem65%fair 1.53 · @1.62

2.52Expected goals

0.66Hapoel Mahane Yehuda xG

1.85FC Jerusalem xG

42%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%

0–214%

1–110%

1–29%

0–39%

0–08%

From our goals model: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0.7 – 1.9 FC Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FC Jerusalem to win ✗	65%	1.53	1.62 ▲
Double chance	FC Jerusalem or draw ✗	88%	1.14	1.17
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	–
Draw no bet	FC Jerusalem (draw no bet) ✗	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	FC Jerusalem -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	50%	1.99	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	89%	1.13	–
First team to score	FC Jerusalem to score first ✗	68%	1.48	–
Half-time result	FC Jerusalem ahead at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FC Jerusalem / FT FC Jerusalem ✗	42%	2.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–3 ✗	9%	11.69	–

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda – last 6

DLLLDD

8 Oct	@ Hapoel Herzliya	0–0	D
30 Sep	vs Dimona	2–3	L
23 Sep	@ Hapoel Azor	0–2	L
17 Sep	vs Hapoel Sderot	0–1	L
9 Sep	@ Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	1–1	D
3 Sep	@ Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

FC Jerusalem – last 6

LWDWDW

9 Oct	vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	0–1	L
30 Sep	@ Tzeirey Tira	2–0	W
24 Sep	vs Maccabi Yavne	1–1	D
18 Sep	@ Nordia Jerusalem	3–1	W
9 Sep	vs Maccabi Ashdod	1–1	D
4 Sep	@ Kfar Saba 1928	2–1	W

1.5Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	21	17	4	0	+35	55
2	FC Jerusalem	22	11	4	7	+16	37
3	Dimona	22	11	4	7	-1	37
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	+14	36
5	Maccabi Kiryat Malachi	22	10	5	7	0	35
6	Tzeirey Tira	21	10	3	8	+9	33
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	0	30
8	Beitar Yavne	22	9	3	10	-7	30
9	Kfar Saba 1928	22	7	8	7	-3	29
10	Maccabi Ashdod	21	7	7	7	+2	28
11	Holon Yermiyahu	22	6	6	10	-3	24
12	Hapoel Marmorek	22	6	6	10	-14	24
13	Hapoel Azor	21	5	8	8	-3	23
14	Hapoel Herzliya	22	5	7	10	-14	22
15	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon	22	5	5	12	-19	19
16	Nordia Jerusalem	22	3	6	13	-12	15

Team

Pts

+35

+16

-1

+14

Maccabi Kiryat Malachi

-7

-3

-3

-14

-3

-14

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon

-19

Nordia Jerusalem

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem?

Our pick is FC Jerusalem to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem?

On our numbers Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and FC Jerusalem 65%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0–1 FC Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs FC Jerusalem (Liga Alef) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda v FC Jerusalem: numbers & prediction