Double chanceShimshon Tel Aviv or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:35 WAT, Friday 23 October: Shimshon Tel Aviv v Nordia Jerusalem in the Liga Alef. In the table, Shimshon Tel Aviv are 7th, upper half, on 30 points after 22 matches; Nordia Jerusalem are 16th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Shimshon Tel Aviv, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Maccabi Ashdod, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nordia Jerusalem, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Hapoel Marmorek, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Shimshon Tel Aviv, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.0 for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shimshon Tel Aviv 2.5 xG, Nordia Jerusalem 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shimshon Tel Aviv 75%, draw 17%, Nordia Jerusalem 8%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.30 – longer than our fair 1.86, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1 Nordia Jerusalem. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shimshon Tel Aviv75%fair 1.33 · @1.05
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @8.00
Nordia Jerusalem8%fair 12.57 · @21.00
3.21Expected goals
2.48Shimshon Tel Aviv xG
0.73Nordia Jerusalem xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Shimshon Tel Aviv 2.5 – 0.7 Nordia Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shimshon Tel Aviv to win✓
75%
1.33
1.05
Double chance
Shimshon Tel Aviv or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.30 ▲
Draw no bet
Shimshon Tel Aviv (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Shimshon Tel Aviv -1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Shimshon Tel Aviv to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Shimshon Tel Aviv ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shimshon Tel Aviv / FT Shimshon Tel Aviv✗
52%
1.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Shimshon Tel Aviv – last 6
WWLWWD
19 Oct
@ Maccabi Ashdod
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Kfar Saba 1928
3–0
W
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1–2
L
23 Sep
@ Hapoel Marmorek
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Holon Yermiyahu
3–1
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Hadera
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nordia Jerusalem – last 6
LLLLLL
19 Oct
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–4
L
8 Oct
@ Holon Yermiyahu
0–5
L
30 Sep
vs Hapoel Hadera
0–4
L
23 Sep
@ Ironi Beit Shemesh
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs FC Jerusalem
1–3
L
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Herzliya
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimshon Tel Aviv and Nordia Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
On our numbers Shimshon Tel Aviv have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Nordia Jerusalem 8%.
How many goals will there be in Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is Shimshon Tel Aviv 2–1 Nordia Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem?
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Nordia Jerusalem (Liga Alef) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 11:35 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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