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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Doncaster v Middlesbrough: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Eco-Power Stadium

Doncaster

DLDLL
1–3
FT

Middlesbrough

LWWDD
Doncaster 17%Draw 19%Middlesbrough 64% Expected goals 0.73 – 1.78
69%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓64% · @1.59
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Doncaster vs Middlesbrough: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 25 August the League Cup brings Doncaster against Middlesbrough at Eco-Power Stadium. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.

Current form

Doncaster, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Barnsley, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Middlesbrough, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Blackburn, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Middlesbrough, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Doncaster.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Doncaster 0.7 xG, Middlesbrough 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Doncaster 17%, draw 19%, Middlesbrough 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Middlesbrough or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Doncaster 0–1 Middlesbrough. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Doncaster17%fair 5.86 · @5.10
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.10
Middlesbrough64%fair 1.55 · @1.59
2.51Expected goals
0.73Doncaster xG
1.78Middlesbrough xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Doncaster 0.7 – 1.8 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✓64%1.551.59
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.67
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet) ✓79%1.26–
Asian handicapMiddlesbrough -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.441.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.20
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✓65%1.54–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✓39%2.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Doncaster – last 6

DLDLLD
22 Augvs Barnsley0–0D
15 Aug@ Mansfield Town1–2L
8 Aug@ Stockport County1–1D
1 Augvs Lincoln0–1L
29 Julvs Wolves0–2L
25 Jul@ Gainsborough Trinity0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough – last 6

LWWDDL
22 Aug@ Blackburn1–2L
15 Augvs Lincoln2–1W
7 Augvs Wrexham1–0W
1 Augvs Espanyol3–3D
18 Jul@ Celtic1–1D
23 May@ Hull City0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Doncaster and Middlesbrough.

Doncaster vs Middlesbrough head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 164%1.60X22%3.90214%4.50 0.9–0.1xG 1Ipswich to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 139%2.44X21%3.60240%2.60 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Blackburn1 Sheffield Utd2 136%2.65X22%3.35242%2.54 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?

On our numbers Doncaster have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Middlesbrough 64%.

How many goals will there be in Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?

Our predicted score is Doncaster 0–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Doncaster vs Middlesbrough?

Doncaster vs Middlesbrough (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Eco-Power Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.