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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ipswich v Leicester: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich

WWWWW
3–1
FT

Leicester

LDWLD
Ipswich 64%Draw 22%Leicester 14% Expected goals 0.89 – 0.11
64%
Betarazi pick

Ipswich to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIpswich to win ✓64% · @1.60
Double chanceIpswich or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗33% · fair 3.07

Ipswich vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Leicester travel to face Ipswich on Tuesday 25 August in the League Cup, with Portman Road Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Ipswich, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sunderland, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Leicester, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Burton Albion, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ipswich, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Leicester.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipswich 0.9 xG, Leicester 0.1 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ipswich 64%, draw 22%, Leicester 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ipswich or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (56%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Ipswich to win (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipswich 1–0 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipswich64%fair 1.56 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.90
Leicester14%fair 7.14 · @4.50
1.00Expected goals
0.89Ipswich xG
0.11Leicester xG
44%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–033%
2–014%
3–04%
0–14%
1–14%

From our goals model: Ipswich 0.9 – 0.1 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIpswich to win ✓64%1.561.60
Double chanceIpswich or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.802.10 ▲
Draw no betIpswich (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapLeicester +1 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreIpswich to score first56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓66%1.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗33%3.07–

Recent results

Ipswich – last 6

WWWWWL
22 Augvs Sunderland2–1W
15 Aug@ Union Berlin4–2W
8 Augvs Rayo Vallecano3–0W
4 Augvs Le Havre1–0W
1 Aug@ Wycombe2–1W
1 Aug@ Oxford United0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Leicester – last 6

LDWLDW
22 Augvs Burton Albion1–2L
15 Aug@ Notts County1–1D
8 Augvs Northampton1–0W
1 Augvs Genoa0–1L
25 Jul@ Malaga3–3D
22 Jul@ Cadiz1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ipswich and Leicester.

Ipswich vs Leicester head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X19%4.10264%1.59 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 139%2.44X21%3.60240%2.60 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Blackburn1 Sheffield Utd2 136%2.65X22%3.35242%2.54 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Leicester?

Our pick is Ipswich to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Ipswich vs Leicester?

On our numbers Ipswich have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leicester 14%.

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Leicester?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Leicester?

Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–0 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Ipswich vs Leicester?

Ipswich vs Leicester (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.