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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Southampton v West Ham: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton

WLWWW
1–4
FT

West Ham

LDWDD
Southampton 39%Draw 21%West Ham 40% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.50
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultWest Ham to win ✓40% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75

Southampton vs West Ham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Southampton v West Ham in the League Cup, played at St. Mary's Stadium.

Current form

Southampton, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stoke City, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

West Ham, last 5: LDWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Charlton, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Southampton, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for West Ham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Southampton 1.5 xG, West Ham 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Southampton 39%, draw 21%, West Ham 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southampton 1–1 West Ham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Southampton39%fair 2.59 · @2.44
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
West Ham40%fair 2.48 · @2.60
2.97Expected goals
1.47Southampton xG
1.50West Ham xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%

From our goals model: Southampton 1.5 – 1.5 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWest Ham to win ✓40%2.482.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.55
Draw no betWest Ham (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapSouthampton +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.531.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗81%1.231.18
First team to scoreWest Ham to score first48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT West Ham / FT West Ham ✗23%4.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.75–

Recent results

Southampton – last 6

WLWWWW
22 Augvs Stoke City3–1W
16 Aug@ Watford1–2L
8 Aug@ Colchester2–0W
1 Aug@ Preußen Münster2–1W
24 Jul@ Eintracht Braunschweig1–0W
18 Jul@ Eastleigh3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

West Ham – last 6

LDWDDW
22 Augvs Charlton1–2L
16 Aug@ Burnley2–2D
8 Augvs Portsmouth3–1W
1 Aug@ 1. FC Magdeburg1–1D
26 Jul@ Rangers0–0D
22 Jul@ Stevenage5–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Southampton and West Ham.

Southampton vs West Ham head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X19%4.10264%1.59 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 164%1.60X22%3.90214%4.50 0.9–0.1xG 1Ipswich to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Blackburn1 Sheffield Utd2 136%2.65X22%3.35242%2.54 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Southampton vs West Ham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Southampton vs West Ham?

On our numbers Southampton have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and West Ham 40%.

How many goals will there be in Southampton vs West Ham?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Southampton vs West Ham?

Our predicted score is Southampton 1–1 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Southampton vs West Ham?

Southampton vs West Ham (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at St. Mary's Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.