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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blackburn v Sheffield Utd: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Ewood Park

Blackburn

WDWDW
1–2
FT

Sheffield Utd

DDWDW
Blackburn 36%Draw 22%Sheffield Utd 42% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.49
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Sheffield Utd to win @ 2.54 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSheffield Utd to win ✓42% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.42

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 25 August the League Cup brings Blackburn against Sheffield Utd at Ewood Park. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Blackburn, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Middlesbrough, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Sheffield Utd, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Swansea, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Sheffield Utd 1–3 Blackburn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackburn 1.4 xG, Sheffield Utd 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blackburn 36%, draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Sheffield Utd to win @2.54 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackburn 1–1 Sheffield Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackburn36%fair 2.80 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35
Sheffield Utd42%fair 2.39 · @2.54
2.85Expected goals
1.36Blackburn xG
1.49Sheffield Utd xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%

From our goals model: Blackburn 1.4 – 1.5 Sheffield Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheffield Utd to win ✓42%2.392.54 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.70 ▲
Draw no betSheffield Utd (draw no bet) ✓54%1.85–
Asian handicapBlackburn +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.181.11
First team to scoreSheffield Utd to score first ✓49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sheffield Utd / FT Sheffield Utd ✓24%4.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.42–

Recent results

Blackburn – last 6

WDWDWL
22 Augvs Middlesbrough2–1W
14 Aug@ Wolves2–2D
8 Aug@ Burton Albion2–1W
1 Aug@ Huddersfield1–1D
25 Jul@ Strasbourg2–0W
22 Jul@ Nottingham Forest0–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sheffield Utd – last 6

DDWDWW
22 Aug@ Swansea0–0D
15 Augvs Birmingham0–0D
9 Aug@ Mansfield Town3–0W
1 Aug@ VfL Bochum0–0D
25 Jul@ Rotherham2–0W
21 Julvs Huddersfield3–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Sheffield Utd v Blackburn1–3
Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X19%4.10264%1.59 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 164%1.60X22%3.90214%4.50 0.9–0.1xG 1Ipswich to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 139%2.44X21%3.60240%2.60 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?

On our numbers Blackburn have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sheffield Utd 42%.

How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?

Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Sheffield Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd?

Blackburn vs Sheffield Utd (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.