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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Plymouth v Coventry: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · Home Park

Plymouth

DLWWD
2–4
FT

Coventry

LWWDW
Plymouth 14%Draw 22%Coventry 64% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.78
86%
Betarazi pick

Coventry or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Coventry to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCoventry to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceCoventry or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Plymouth vs Coventry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Coventry travel to face Plymouth on Tuesday 25 August in the League Cup, with Home Park the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Plymouth, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Wycombe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Coventry, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Arsenal, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 0.7 xG, Coventry 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 14%, draw 22%, Coventry 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Coventry or draw (86%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Coventry to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Coventry or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 0–1 Coventry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Plymouth14%fair 7.22 · @4.45
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Coventry64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
2.47Expected goals
0.69Plymouth xG
1.78Coventry xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Plymouth 0.7 – 1.8 Coventry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCoventry to win ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Double chanceCoventry or draw ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.741.65
Draw no betCoventry (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapCoventry -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.411.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.18
First team to scoreCoventry to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultCoventry ahead at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Coventry / FT Coventry ✓40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

Plymouth – last 6

DLWWDW
22 Aug@ Wycombe1–1D
15 Augvs Stockport County1–3L
10 Augvs Exeter City2–0W
4 Aug@ Tavistock4–1W
1 Augvs Bristol City0–0D
25 Jul@ Truro City1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Coventry – last 6

LWWDWW
21 Aug@ Arsenal0–3L
14 Augvs Monaco2–0W
8 Augvs Espanyol3–1W
18 Jul@ Northampton0–0D
2 May@ Watford4–0W
26 Aprvs Wrexham3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Coventry.

Plymouth vs Coventry head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X19%4.10264%1.59 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 164%1.60X22%3.90214%4.50 0.9–0.1xG 1Ipswich to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 139%2.44X21%3.60240%2.60 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Coventry?

Our pick is Coventry or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Plymouth vs Coventry?

On our numbers Plymouth have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coventry 64%.

How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Coventry?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Coventry?

Our predicted score is Plymouth 0–1 Coventry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Plymouth vs Coventry?

Plymouth vs Coventry (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.