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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stoke City v Hull City: numbers & prediction

League Cup · England · bet365 Stadium

Stoke City

LLWDW
1–1
FTPens 4–5

Hull City

WDLDW
Stoke City 38%Draw 23%Hull City 39% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.15
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHull City to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.05

Stoke City vs Hull City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hull City travel to face Stoke City on Tuesday 25 August in the League Cup, with bet365 Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Stoke City, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Southampton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Hull City, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Manchester United, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.1 xG, Hull City 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 38%, draw 23%, Hull City 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Stoke City to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Hull City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stoke City38%fair 2.64 · @2.95
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Hull City39%fair 2.54 · @2.35
2.28Expected goals
1.12Stoke City xG
1.15Hull City xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Stoke City 1.1 – 1.2 Hull City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHull City to win ✗39%2.542.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.80
Draw no betHull City (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapStoke City +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.471.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.771.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.09
First team to scoreHull City to score first45%2.20–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hull City / FT Hull City ✗21%4.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.05–

Recent results

Stoke City – last 6

LLWDWW
22 Aug@ Southampton1–3L
15 Augvs Swansea1–2L
8 Augvs Oldham2–0W
1 Augvs Valencia1–1D
28 Julvs Everton1–0W
21 Jul@ Chester1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Hull City – last 6

WDLDWW
22 Augvs Manchester United2–0W
15 Augvs Nice0–0D
8 Aug@ Eintracht Frankfurt0–2L
1 Aug@ Kasımpaşa1–1D
28 Jul@ Rizespor2–1W
25 Jul@ Konyaspor3–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Hull City.

Stoke City vs Hull City head-to-head page →

More League Cup predictions

League hub
FT Cardiff1 Norwich2 134%2.68X21%3.55245%2.42 1.8–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Doncaster1 Middlesbrough3 117%5.10X19%4.10264%1.59 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.50 ✗
FT Barnsley3 Crewe2 166%1.60X20%4.20214%4.80 2.2–0.9xG 1Barnsley to win 66%@1.60 ✓
FT Blackpool1 Lincoln4 119%3.60X25%3.55256%1.95 1.1–2.0xG X2Lincoln or draw 81%@1.28 ✓
FT Cambridge United0 Millwall1 134%3.20X23%3.35243%2.20 1.3–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗
FT Ipswich3 Leicester1 164%1.60X22%3.90214%4.50 0.9–0.1xG 1Ipswich to win 64%@1.60 ✓
FT Southampton1 West Ham4 139%2.44X21%3.60240%2.60 1.5–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Stevenage0 Reading3 141%2.28X23%3.25236%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Stoke City vs Hull City?

On our numbers Stoke City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hull City 39%.

How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Hull City?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Hull City?

Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Hull City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Stoke City vs Hull City?

Stoke City vs Hull City (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.