Nottingham Forest v Leeds Prediction & Expected Goals (25 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeeds to win ✓40% · @3.30

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 25 August the League Cup brings Nottingham Forest against Leeds at City Ground. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Nottingham Forest, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leeds, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Leeds, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nottingham Forest, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Leeds, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Nottingham Forest.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Nottingham Forest 0–1 Leeds.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Nottingham Forest 1.3 xG, Leeds 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Nottingham Forest 37%, draw 22%, Leeds 40%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Leeds to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Nottingham Forest37%fair 2.69 · @2.15

Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.35

Leeds40%fair 2.48 · @3.30

2.61Expected goals

1.27Nottingham Forest xG

1.34Leeds xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–110%

1–09%

1–28%

2–18%

0–07%

From our goals model: Nottingham Forest 1.3 – 1.3 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leeds to win ✓	40%	2.48	3.30 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.29	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.73	1.75
Draw no bet	Leeds (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Nottingham Forest +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.94	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.16	1.10
First team to score	Leeds to score first ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.32	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leeds / FT Leeds ✗	22%	4.50	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.95	–

Nottingham Forest – last 6

LWWLLL

22 Aug	vs Leeds	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs Stade Brestois 29	2–0	W
12 Aug	vs Bayer Leverkusen	2–1	W
8 Aug	@ Barcelona	0–1	L
8 Aug	@ Udinese	0–1	L
31 Jul	@ Sporting CP	1–4	L

0.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Leeds – last 6

WWDWWW

22 Aug	@ Nottingham Forest	1–0	W
15 Aug	vs FC Augsburg	4–0	W
12 Aug	vs Manchester United	1–1	D
8 Aug	vs RB Leipzig	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ Liverpool	4–2	W
31 Jul	@ Sunderland	1–0	W

2.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

On our numbers Nottingham Forest have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leeds 40%.

How many goals will there be in Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Our predicted score is Nottingham Forest 1–1 Leeds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Leeds?

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds (League Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at City Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Nottingham Forest v Leeds: numbers & prediction