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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Iwaki v Oita Trinita: numbers & prediction

Emperor Cup · Japan · Iwaki Greenfield

Iwaki

LLWWL
0–0
FTAET 2–0

Oita Trinita

WDLWD
Iwaki 56%Draw 24%Oita Trinita 20% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.89
80%
Betarazi pick

Iwaki or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIwaki to win ✗56% · @1.94
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Wednesday 26 August: Iwaki v Oita Trinita in the Emperor Cup, played at Iwaki Greenfield.

Current form

Iwaki, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Oita Trinita, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Oita Trinita, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Iwaki, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Oita Trinita 4–1 Iwaki.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Iwaki 1.7 xG, Oita Trinita 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Iwaki 56%, draw 24%, Oita Trinita 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Iwaki or draw (80%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Iwaki to win @1.94 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Iwaki or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iwaki 1–0 Oita Trinita. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Iwaki56%fair 1.79 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Oita Trinita20%fair 4.98 · @3.65
2.55Expected goals
1.66Iwaki xG
0.89Oita Trinita xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Iwaki 1.7 – 0.9 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIwaki to win ✗56%1.791.94 ▲
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✓80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.77
Draw no betIwaki (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapOita Trinita +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreIwaki to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Iwaki / FT Iwaki ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Iwaki – last 6

LLWWLD
22 Aug@ Oita Trinita1–4L
15 Aug@ Fujieda MYFC1–3L
9 Augvs Imabari2–1W
12 Jul@ Parceiro Nagano3–1W
7 Jun@ Tokushima Vortis0–2L
30 May@ Shonan Bellmare1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Oita Trinita – last 6

WDLWDL
22 Augvs Iwaki4–1W
15 Aug@ Vegalta Sendai0–0D
8 Augvs Shonan Bellmare0–1L
7 Junvs Montedio Yamagata1–0W
30 May@ Nara Club3–3D
17 Mayvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Oita Trinita v Iwaki4–1
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Machida Zelvia3 Grulla Morioka0 172%1.11X17%7.40210%18.50 1.8–0.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.90 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Ventforet Kofu3 143%1.98X23%3.20234%3.65 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Imabari4 Blaublitz Akita1 138%2.74X23%3.10239%2.48 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Jubilo Iwata0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki0 AET 0–1 138%2.18X23%3.20239%3.15 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Fujieda MYFC3 AET 3–5 144%2.24X23%3.20233%3.00 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Omiya Ardija2 Vanraure Hachinohe0 160%1.75X23%3.50216%4.33 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Sagan Tosu4 Kataller Toyama0 138%2.52X24%3.00238%2.80 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Vegalta Sendai1 Tochigi City2 155%1.94X24%3.30221%3.70 1.6–0.9xG 1XVegalta Sendai or draw 79%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

Our pick is Iwaki or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

On our numbers Iwaki have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oita Trinita 20%.

How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–0 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?

Iwaki vs Oita Trinita (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.